Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas · updated 2026-10-09
Kauno Žalgiris host Brann in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Kauno Žalgiris slight favourites at 37%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 28% and expects about 2.7 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 1.34, Brann 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| Kauno Žalgiris | Per match this season | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.2 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 0.20 |
| 7.5 | Shots | 3.3 |
| 4.2 | On target | 3.3 |
| 50.8 | Possession % | 58.7 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.34 | Average rating | 6.44 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Kauno Žalgiris in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.