Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Russian Premier League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar · updated 2026-10-25
Krasnodar welcome CSKA Moskva to Stadion FK Krasnodar in Krasnodar in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Krasnodar have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. CSKA Moskva have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Krasnodar 38%, the draw 27%, CSKA Moskva 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Krasnodar 1.44, CSKA Moskva 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Krasnodar: form and key numbers
In style Krasnodar keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.1).
- Shots: 14.9 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 58.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
CSKA Moskva: form and key numbers
In style CSKA Moskva press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.77 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva: season averages side by side
| Krasnodar | Per match this season | CSKA Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.77 |
| 1.21 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 14.9 | Shots | 16.2 |
| 5.4 | On target | 5.8 |
| 58.6 | Possession % | 50.5 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 2.7 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Players to watch
Krasnodar
- Juan Manuel Boselli SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 35 · Clinical finisher, Creator (top 28% of his position)
- Douglas Augusto CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 29 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 27% of his position)
CSKA Moskva
- Vladislav Torop GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 32 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 30% of his position)
- Luciano Gondou CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 29 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov, 28 · CSKA Moskva · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 32
Ivan Oblyakov, 28, plays as a central midfielder for CSKA Moskva in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 32
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 23
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 22
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.38 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 2.38 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.23 / 90 | 69% |
| Interceptions | 1.53 / 90 | 61% |
| Long balls | 2.80 / 90 | 57% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ivan Oblyakov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ivan Oblyakov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva prediction
Krasnodar should have more of the ball, with CSKA Moskva likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Krasnodar are a threat in the air and from set pieces; CSKA Moskva work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.44 for Krasnodar and 1.36 for CSKA Moskva - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Krasnodar 1-1 CSKA Moskva
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.80 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Sunday 25 October 2026
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- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva: questions and answers
When is Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14.
Where is Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva played?
At Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar, Krasnodar's home ground.
Who will win Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?
It is close: Krasnodar 38%, draw 27%, CSKA Moskva 35%. Our prediction is Krasnodar 1-1 CSKA Moskva.
Who is the player to watch in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?
Ivan Oblyakov of CSKA Moskva: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 32 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskva?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.