Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Russian Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Samara Arena, Samara · updated 2026-10-25
Krylya Sovetov welcome Orenburg to Samara Arena in Samara in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Krylya Sovetov have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. Orenburg have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Krylya Sovetov are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 28% and Orenburg at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov 1.44, Orenburg 1.17.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Krylya Sovetov: form and key numbers
In style Krylya Sovetov play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.51 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Orenburg: form and key numbers
In style Orenburg are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.41 a match created, 1.40 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.9).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 37.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg: season averages side by side
| Krylya Sovetov | Per match this season | Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.51 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.41 |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | 1.40 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 13.3 |
| 4.8 | On target | 4.4 |
| 48.9 | Possession % | 37.7 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Krylya Sovetov
- Nikita Kokarev GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 64% of his position)
- Mihajlo Banjac CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 22 · Chance creator, Dribbler (top 41% of his position)
Orenburg
- Jordhy Thompson RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 42 · Gets into scoring positions, Crosser (top 9% of his position)
- Bogdan Ovsyannikov GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 31 · Long passer, Box defender (top 52% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuriy Gorshkov
Yuriy Gorshkov, 27 · Krylya Sovetov · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 26
Yuriy Gorshkov, 27, plays as a wing-back for Krylya Sovetov in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and dribbled past. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 26
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 26
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.19 / 90 | 65% |
| Dribbled past | 0.36 / 90 | 62% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.57 / 90 | 49% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 48% |
| Key passes | 2.06 / 90 | 40% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- What Yuriy Gorshkov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuriy Gorshkov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg prediction
Krylya Sovetov should have more of the ball, with Orenburg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Krylya Sovetov go long and direct; Orenburg are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.44 for Krylya Sovetov and 1.17 for Orenburg - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%. Krylya Sovetov have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Krylya Sovetov 2-1 Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg betting tips
- Tip 1: Krylya Sovetov win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.60 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Saturday 31 October 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg: questions and answers
When is Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg?
Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14.
Where is Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg played?
At Samara Arena, Samara, Krylya Sovetov's home ground.
Who will win Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg?
Krylya Sovetov are the favourites: Krylya Sovetov 43%, draw 28%, Orenburg 30%. Our prediction is Krylya Sovetov 2-1 Orenburg.
Who is the player to watch in Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg?
Yuriy Gorshkov of Krylya Sovetov: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 26 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.