Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Russian Premier League · Friday 6 November 2026 · 16:30 UTC · RZD Arena, Moskva · updated 2026-10-25
Lokomotiv Moskva welcome Rubin Kazan to RZD Arena in Moskva in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Lokomotiv Moskva have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. Rubin Kazan have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Lokomotiv Moskva are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 27% and Rubin Kazan at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lokomotiv Moskva 1.56, Rubin Kazan 1.11.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Lokomotiv Moskva: form and key numbers
In style Lokomotiv Moskva are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.24 a match created, 1.86 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Rubin Kazan: form and key numbers
In style Rubin Kazan play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.55 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: season averages side by side
| Lokomotiv Moskva | Per match this season | Rubin Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.24 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.99 |
| 1.86 | xG conceded | 1.55 |
| 13.0 | Shots | 10.2 |
| 3.4 | On target | 3.0 |
| 49.6 | Possession % | 47.4 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 3.2 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.66 |
Players to watch
Lokomotiv Moskva
- César Montes CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Dominant in the air, Hard to dribble past (top 14% of his position)
- Anton Mitryushkin GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 36 · Shot-stopper, Box defender (top 50% of his position)
Rubin Kazan
- Egor Teslenko CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 30 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Jacques Siwe CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 23 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Evgeniy Morozov
Evgeniy Morozov, 25 · Lokomotiv Moskva · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 33
Evgeniy Morozov, 25, plays as a centre-back for Lokomotiv Moskva in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in duels won and aerial duels won. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 33
- DM · Defensive midfielder Competent, 15
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.60 / 90 | 86% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.48 / 90 | 85% |
| Interceptions | 2.36 / 90 | 72% |
| Tackles | 2.36 / 90 | 57% |
| Blocked shots | 0.94 / 90 | 38% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Dominant in the air.
- What Evgeniy Morozov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Evgeniy Morozov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan prediction
Lokomotiv Moskva should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.56 for Lokomotiv Moskva and 1.11 for Rubin Kazan - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%. Lokomotiv Moskva have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moskva 2-1 Rubin Kazan
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan betting tips
- Tip 1: Lokomotiv Moskva win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.67 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 6.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Saturday 31 October 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: questions and answers
When is Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan is on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14.
Where is Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan played?
At RZD Arena, Moskva, Lokomotiv Moskva's home ground.
Who will win Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?
Lokomotiv Moskva are the favourites: Lokomotiv Moskva 47%, draw 27%, Rubin Kazan 26%. Our prediction is Lokomotiv Moskva 2-1 Rubin Kazan.
Who is the player to watch in Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?
Evgeniy Morozov of Lokomotiv Moskva: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 33 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.