Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough · updated 2026-10-25
Middlesbrough welcome Charlton Athletic to Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Middlesbrough have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 57% win rate. Charlton Athletic have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Middlesbrough are clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 19% and Charlton Athletic at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Middlesbrough 2.33, Charlton Athletic 0.92.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Middlesbrough: form and key numbers
In style Middlesbrough keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.10 a match created, 1.07 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 20.1 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 59.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Charlton Athletic: form and key numbers
In style Charlton Athletic are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 41.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic: season averages side by side
| Middlesbrough | Per match this season | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 2.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.13 |
| 1.07 | xG conceded | 1.63 |
| 20.1 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 6.7 | On target | 3.0 |
| 59.8 | Possession % | 41.6 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 58% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.95 | Average rating | 6.69 |
Players to watch
Middlesbrough
- Will Lankshear CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 50 · Clinical finisher, Takes high-quality shots (top 17% of his position)
- Aidan Morris CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 48 · Secure passer, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
Charlton Athletic
- Billy Koumetio CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Dominant in the air, Blocks shots (top 9% of his position)
- Lloyd Jones CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 39 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Amario Cozier-Duberry
Amario Cozier-Duberry, 21 · Middlesbrough · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 54
Amario Cozier-Duberry, 21, plays as a winger for Middlesbrough in the Championship. Strongest for his role in shots and accurate crosses. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.91 / 90 | 95% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.31 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected goals | 0.36 / 90 | 70% |
| Big chances created | 0.49 / 90 | 65% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume.
- What Amario Cozier-Duberry is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Amario Cozier-Duberry's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction
Middlesbrough should have more of the ball, with Charlton Athletic likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Middlesbrough work the ball wide and cross; Charlton Athletic are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.33 for Middlesbrough and 0.92 for Charlton Athletic - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 55%. Middlesbrough have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Middlesbrough 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic betting tips
- Tip 1: Middlesbrough to win 68% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.25 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic: questions and answers
When is Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic played?
At Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, Middlesbrough's home ground.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough are the favourites: Middlesbrough 68%, draw 19%, Charlton Athletic 13%. Our prediction is Middlesbrough 2-1 Charlton Athletic.
Who is the player to watch in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Amario Cozier-Duberry of Middlesbrough: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
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