Preston North End vs Southampton Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 15
Championship · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Deepdale, Preston · updated 2026-10-25
Preston North End welcome Southampton to Deepdale in Preston in Championship Gameweek 15 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Preston North End have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Southampton have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Southampton are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 23% and Preston North End at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Preston North End 1.13, Southampton 1.95.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Preston North End: form and key numbers
In style Preston North End are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.0).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Southampton: form and key numbers
In style Southampton keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 56.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Preston North End vs Southampton: season averages side by side
| Preston North End | Per match this season | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.63 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 15.2 |
| 2.7 | On target | 4.6 |
| 40.5 | Possession % | 56.6 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
Preston North End
- Andrija Vukcevic LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 38 · Crosser, Creator (top 4% of his position)
- Jordan Storey CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Reads the game, Disciplined (top 5% of his position)
Southampton
- Daniel Peretz GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 51 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Léo Scienza LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Draws fouls, Press-resistant (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Keven Schlotterbeck
Keven Schlotterbeck, 29 · Southampton · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 46
Keven Schlotterbeck, 29, plays as a centre-back for Southampton in the Championship. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and fouls committed. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 46
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.10 / 90 | 95% |
| Fouls committed | 0.30 / 90 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 1.51 / 90 | 88% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.21 / 90 | 70% |
| Interceptions | 1.81 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Disciplined, Blocks shots.
- What Keven Schlotterbeck is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Keven Schlotterbeck's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Preston North End vs Southampton prediction
Southampton should have more of the ball, with Preston North End likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Preston North End are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.13 for Preston North End and 1.95 for Southampton - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 59%. Southampton have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Preston North End 1-2 Southampton
Preston North End vs Southampton betting tips
- Tip 1: Southampton to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.09 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Championship previews
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- Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026
- Norwich City vs Watford Saturday 31 October 2026
- Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Saturday 31 October 2026
- West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Saturday 31 October 2026
- Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026
Preston North End vs Southampton: questions and answers
When is Preston North End vs Southampton?
Preston North End vs Southampton is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 15.
Where is Preston North End vs Southampton played?
At Deepdale, Preston, Preston North End's home ground.
Who will win Preston North End vs Southampton?
Southampton are the favourites: Preston North End 21%, draw 23%, Southampton 56%. Our prediction is Preston North End 1-2 Southampton.
Who is the player to watch in Preston North End vs Southampton?
Keven Schlotterbeck of Southampton: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 46 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Preston North End vs Southampton?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.