Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 14
Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · MATRADE Loftus Road, London · updated 2026-10-25
Queens Park Rangers welcome Burnley to MATRADE Loftus Road in London in Championship Gameweek 14 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Queens Park Rangers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 60% win rate. Burnley have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Queens Park Rangers are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Burnley at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers 2.25, Burnley 1.06.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Queens Park Rangers: form and key numbers
In style Queens Park Rangers press high, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.79 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Burnley: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.38 a match created, 1.70 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 49.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 92% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley: season averages side by side
| Queens Park Rangers | Per match this season | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 1.79 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.38 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 1.70 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 5.2 | On target | 4.1 |
| 47.9 | Possession % | 49.1 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 8% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 92% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Queens Park Rangers
- Richard Kone CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 52 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 3% of his position)
- Pierce Charles GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 48 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 15% of his position)
Burnley
- Marcus Edwards RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 35% of his position)
- Jacob Bruun Larsen LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Big-chance creator, Press-resistant (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Glen Kamara
Glen Kamara, 30 · Queens Park Rangers · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 44
Glen Kamara, 30, plays as a central midfielder for Queens Park Rangers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and key passes. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 44
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 90% |
| Key passes | 2.17 / 90 | 78% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.97 / 90 | 67% |
| Interceptions | 1.45 / 90 | 65% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.15 / 90 | 45% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Glen Kamara is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Glen Kamara's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley prediction
Burnley should have more of the ball; Queens Park Rangers go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.25 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.06 for Burnley - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 59%. Queens Park Rangers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley betting tips
- Tip 1: Queens Park Rangers to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.31 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley: questions and answers
When is Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 14.
Where is Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley played?
At MATRADE Loftus Road, London, Queens Park Rangers's home ground.
Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Queens Park Rangers are the favourites: Queens Park Rangers 64%, draw 20%, Burnley 16%. Our prediction is Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley.
Who is the player to watch in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Glen Kamara of Queens Park Rangers: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.