Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize · updated 2026-10-25
Rizespor welcome Erzurumspor FK to Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in Rize in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Rizespor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Erzurumspor FK have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Rizespor are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 30% and Erzurumspor FK at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rizespor 1.28, Erzurumspor FK 0.90.
- Over 2.5 goals: 37% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rizespor: form and key numbers
In style Rizespor keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Erzurumspor FK: form and key numbers
In style Erzurumspor FK are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.85 a match created, 1.33 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 9.6 a match, 2.9 on target.
- Possession: 42.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 22% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK: season averages side by side
| Rizespor | Per match this season | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.27 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.85 |
| 1.28 | xG conceded | 1.33 |
| 15.9 | Shots | 9.6 |
| 4.9 | On target | 2.9 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 42.4 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 22% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 3.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Rizespor
- Emrecan Bulut LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 38 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 15% of his position)
- Taylan Antalyalı DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 34 · Press-resistant, Disciplined (top 14% of his position)
Erzurumspor FK
- Orhan Ovacıklı RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 33% of his position)
- Ertuğrul Taşkıran GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 26 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 37% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci, 30 · Rizespor · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 38
Qazim Laci, 30, plays as a central midfielder for Rizespor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 38
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 33
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 28
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.52 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 89% |
| Long balls | 4.64 / 90 | 86% |
| Expected goals | 0.23 / 90 | 74% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Long passer.
- What Qazim Laci is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Qazim Laci's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction
Rizespor should have more of the ball, with Erzurumspor FK likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rizespor work the ball wide and cross; Erzurumspor FK go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.28 for Rizespor and 0.90 for Erzurumspor FK - with over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 44%. Rizespor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rizespor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK betting tips
- Tip 1: Rizespor win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 2.18 goals expected
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Monday 26 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK: questions and answers
When is Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK played?
At Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize, Rizespor's home ground.
Who will win Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Rizespor are the favourites: Rizespor 45%, draw 30%, Erzurumspor FK 25%. Our prediction is Rizespor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK.
Who is the player to watch in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Qazim Laci of Rizespor: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 38 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.