Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs, Samsun · updated 2026-10-25
Samsunspor welcome Konyaspor to Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs in Samsun in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Samsunspor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 11% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. Konyaspor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Samsunspor 33%, the draw 30%, Konyaspor 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Samsunspor 1.10, Konyaspor 1.16.
- Over 2.5 goals: 39% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Samsunspor: form and key numbers
In style Samsunspor keep the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Konyaspor: form and key numbers
In style Konyaspor play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created, 1.22 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.0).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 49.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 22% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: season averages side by side
| Samsunspor | Per match this season | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 0.7 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.22 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.2 | On target | 3.6 |
| 55.0 | Possession % | 49.0 |
| 11% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 22% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.71 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Samsunspor
- Celil Yüksel CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 30 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 17% of his position)
- Gabriele Guarino CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 26 · Secure passer, Blocks shots (top 24% of his position)
Konyaspor
- Bahadır Güngördü GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 36 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
- Deniz Türüç RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 29 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Joe Mendes
Joe Mendes, 23 · Samsunspor · RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 32
Joe Mendes, 23, plays as a full-back for Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and expected assists (est.). Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 32
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 23
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 22
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.15 / 90 | 67% |
| Key passes | 1.25 / 90 | 66% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.57 / 90 | 55% |
| Dribbled past | 0.45 / 90 | 48% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Joe Mendes is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Joe Mendes's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor prediction
Samsunspor should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.10 for Samsunspor and 1.16 for Konyaspor - with over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 47%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Samsunspor 1-1 Konyaspor
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 36%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 2.26 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Monday 26 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: questions and answers
When is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor played?
At Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs, Samsun, Samsunspor's home ground.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
It is close: Samsunspor 33%, draw 30%, Konyaspor 36%. Our prediction is Samsunspor 1-1 Konyaspor.
Who is the player to watch in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Joe Mendes of Samsunspor: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 32 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.