SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Eredivisie · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 11:15 UTC · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen · updated 2026-10-25
SC Heerenveen welcome Feyenoord to Abe Lenstra Stadion in Heerenveen in Eredivisie Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC.
SC Heerenveen have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Feyenoord have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 70% of them. Away from home they average 3.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 71% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Feyenoord are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 23% and SC Heerenveen at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: SC Heerenveen 1.32, Feyenoord 2.03.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
SC Heerenveen: form and key numbers
In style SC Heerenveen play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.69 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 0.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
In style Feyenoord keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.70 a match created, 1.01 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.0).
- Shots: 20.6 a match, 8.4 on target.
- Possession: 53.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord: season averages side by side
| SC Heerenveen | Per match this season | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 3.2 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.70 |
| 1.69 | xG conceded | 1.01 |
| 15.2 | Shots | 20.6 |
| 5.8 | On target | 8.4 |
| 52.2 | Possession % | 53.3 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 0.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 7.08 |
Players to watch
SC Heerenveen
- Levi Smans AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 46 · Chance creator, Creator (top 15% of his position)
- Bernt Klaverboer GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 39 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 38% of his position)
Feyenoord
- Nacho Ferri CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 63 · Accurate shooter, Dominant in the air (top 11% of his position)
- Ayase Ueda CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 55 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Anis Hadj Moussa
Anis Hadj Moussa, 24 · Feyenoord · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 64
Anis Hadj Moussa, 24, plays as a winger for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in key passes and accurate crosses. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.38 / 90 | 91% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.69 / 90 | 89% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.49 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.38 / 90 | 88% |
| Big chances created | 0.56 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Crosser, Dribbler.
⚠ 6 goals from only 2.8 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Anis Hadj Moussa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Anis Hadj Moussa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction
Feyenoord should have more of the ball; SC Heerenveen go long and direct; Feyenoord like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.32 for SC Heerenveen and 2.03 for Feyenoord - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 64%. Feyenoord have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: SC Heerenveen 1-2 Feyenoord
SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord betting tips
- Tip 1: Feyenoord win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.35 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord: questions and answers
When is SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 12.
Where is SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord played?
At Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, SC Heerenveen's home ground.
Who will win SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord are the favourites: SC Heerenveen 24%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 53%. Our prediction is SC Heerenveen 1-2 Feyenoord.
Who is the player to watch in SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Anis Hadj Moussa of Feyenoord: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.