Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 12
La Liga · Friday 6 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla · updated 2026-10-23
Sevilla welcome Deportivo Alavés to Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Sevilla in La Liga Gameweek 12 action on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Sevilla have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Deportivo Alavés have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Sevilla 37%, the draw 27%, Deportivo Alavés 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sevilla 1.36, Deportivo Alavés 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sevilla: form and key numbers
In style Sevilla are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.30 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 41.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Deportivo Alavés: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo Alavés are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.16 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.5).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 42.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés: season averages side by side
| Sevilla | Per match this season | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.16 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 1.28 |
| 11.8 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.8 |
| 41.3 | Possession % | 42.2 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 78% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 3.0 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.9 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
Sevilla
- Gabriel Suazo LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 63 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 1% of his position)
- Youssouf Fofana CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 58 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 5% of his position)
Deportivo Alavés
- Antonio Sivera GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 62 · Long passer, Box defender (top 4% of his position)
- Lucas Boyé CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 55 · Duel winner, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez, 24 · Deportivo Alavés · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 65
Ángel Pérez, 24, plays as a winger for Deportivo Alavés in La Liga. Strongest for his role in big chances created and accurate crosses. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 65
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 61
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 0.98 / 90 | 98% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.49 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.37 / 90 | 94% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.79 / 90 | 69% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Crosser, Press-resistant.
- What Ángel Pérez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ángel Pérez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés prediction
Deportivo Alavés should have more of the ball; Sevilla are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Deportivo Alavés work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.36 for Sevilla and 1.31 for Deportivo Alavés - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alavés
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Monday 26 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Espanyol Friday 30 October 2026
- Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 31 October 2026
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés: questions and answers
When is Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés?
Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés is on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 12.
Where is Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés played?
At Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla, Sevilla's home ground.
Who will win Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés?
It is close: Sevilla 37%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alavés 35%. Our prediction is Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alavés.
Who is the player to watch in Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés?
Ángel Pérez of Deportivo Alavés: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.