Sint-Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond · updated 2026-10-09
Sint-Truiden host FC Iberia 1999 in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stayen Stadion. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Sint-Truiden favourites at 46%, puts the draw at 24% and expects about 3.4 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sint-Truiden 1.87, FC Iberia 1999 1.50.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| Sint-Truiden | Per match this season | FC Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 16.0 | Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.0 | On target | 5.8 |
| 55.0 | Possession % | 59.3 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.28 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Sint-Truiden in its domestic league; FC Iberia 1999 in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.