Spartak Moskva vs Akron Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Russian Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 13:15 UTC · Lukoil Arena · updated 2026-10-25
Spartak Moskva welcome Akron to Lukoil Arena in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 13:15 UTC.
Spartak Moskva have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over 7 matches, with a 71% win rate. Akron have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Spartak Moskva are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 22% and Akron at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Spartak Moskva 2.02, Akron 0.82.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Spartak Moskva: form and key numbers
In style Spartak Moskva keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.69 a match created, 0.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 16.1 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 62.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Akron: form and key numbers
In style Akron keep the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 3.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Spartak Moskva vs Akron: season averages side by side
| Spartak Moskva | Per match this season | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.69 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 0.99 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 16.1 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 5.7 | On target | 4.0 |
| 62.0 | Possession % | 53.5 |
| 42% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 58% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 3.2 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
Spartak Moskva
- Danil Prutsev CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 32 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 31% of his position)
- Aleksandr Maksimenko GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 30 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 30% of his position)
Akron
- K. Arévalo LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 34 · Press-resistant, Creator (top 16% of his position)
- Marat Bokoev CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 31 · Hard to dribble past, Reads the game (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marquinhos
Marquinhos, 27 · Spartak Moskva · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 31
Marquinhos, 27, plays as a winger for Spartak Moskva in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 31
- LW · Winger Natural, 31
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.61 / 90 | 84% |
| Key passes | 3.02 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.34 / 90 | 73% |
| Big chances created | 0.50 / 90 | 64% |
| Fouls won | 1.91 / 90 | 38% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Marquinhos is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marquinhos's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Spartak Moskva vs Akron prediction
Spartak Moskva should have more of the ball; Spartak Moskva press high to win the ball back; Akron go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 2.02 for Spartak Moskva and 0.82 for Akron - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 49%. Spartak Moskva have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Spartak Moskva 2-1 Akron
Spartak Moskva vs Akron betting tips
- Tip 1: Spartak Moskva to win 65% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.84 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Saturday 31 October 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Spartak Moskva vs Akron: questions and answers
When is Spartak Moskva vs Akron?
Spartak Moskva vs Akron is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 13:15 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14.
Where is Spartak Moskva vs Akron played?
At Lukoil Arena, Spartak Moskva's home ground.
Who will win Spartak Moskva vs Akron?
Spartak Moskva are the favourites: Spartak Moskva 65%, draw 22%, Akron 14%. Our prediction is Spartak Moskva 2-1 Akron.
Who is the player to watch in Spartak Moskva vs Akron?
Marquinhos of Spartak Moskva: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 31 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moskva vs Akron?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.