Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon · updated 2026-10-25
Trabzonspor welcome Gaziantep F.K. to Papara Park in Trabzon in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Trabzonspor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 80% win rate. Gaziantep F.K. have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Trabzonspor are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 21% and Gaziantep F.K. at 15%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Trabzonspor 2.11, Gaziantep F.K. 0.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
In style Trabzonspor keep the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.9).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 52.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Gaziantep F.K.: form and key numbers
In style Gaziantep F.K. play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.: season averages side by side
| Trabzonspor | Per match this season | Gaziantep F.K. |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 0.6 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.63 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.18 |
| 1.57 | xG conceded | 1.58 |
| 13.9 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 6.9 | On target | 3.7 |
| 52.6 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
Trabzonspor
- André Onana GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 43 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 61% of his position)
- Aral Şimşir LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 41 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
Gaziantep F.K.
- Arda Kızıldağ CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Reads the game, Dominant in the air (top 12% of his position)
- Kacper Kozłowski AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 32 · Big-chance creator, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah, 34 · Trabzonspor · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Mohamed Salah, 34, plays as a winger for Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.54 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 3.47 / 90 | 87% |
| Big chances created | 0.69 / 90 | 83% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.25 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Creator, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Mohamed Salah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mohamed Salah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. prediction
Trabzonspor should have more of the ball; Trabzonspor like to take players on; Gaziantep F.K. work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 2.11 for Trabzonspor and 0.91 for Gaziantep F.K. - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 53%. Trabzonspor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Trabzonspor 2-1 Gaziantep F.K.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. betting tips
- Tip 1: Trabzonspor to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.02 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
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- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.: questions and answers
When is Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K. played?
At Papara Park, Trabzon, Trabzonspor's home ground.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Trabzonspor are the favourites: Trabzonspor 64%, draw 21%, Gaziantep F.K. 15%. Our prediction is Trabzonspor 2-1 Gaziantep F.K..
Who is the player to watch in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Mohamed Salah of Trabzonspor: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.