Trabzonspor vs Hearts: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon · updated 2026-10-09
Trabzonspor host Hearts in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Papara Park. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Trabzonspor slight favourites at 45%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 26% and expects about 2.9 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Trabzonspor 1.62, Hearts 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| Trabzonspor | Per match this season | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 2 |
| 0.0 | Goals scored | 0.0 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 3.0 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 15.0 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 2.5 | On target | 5.0 |
| 49.0 | Possession % | 65.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 5.5 | Corners | 10.0 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.62 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Trabzonspor in its domestic league; Hearts in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Thursday 15 October 2026
- Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Thursday 15 October 2026
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.