West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 15
Championship · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich · updated 2026-10-25
West Bromwich Albion welcome Millwall to The Hawthorns in West Bromwich in Championship Gameweek 15 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
West Bromwich Albion have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Millwall have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Bromwich Albion are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 25% and Millwall at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion 1.64, Millwall 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
West Bromwich Albion: form and key numbers
In style West Bromwich Albion keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.46 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 55.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Millwall: form and key numbers
In style Millwall press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.85 a match created, 1.36 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall: season averages side by side
| West Bromwich Albion | Per match this season | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.85 |
| 1.46 | xG conceded | 1.36 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 3.9 |
| 55.9 | Possession % | 48.1 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
West Bromwich Albion
- Max O'Leary GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 48 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Chris Mepham CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 39 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 3% of his position)
Millwall
- Josh Coburn CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 53 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 5% of his position)
- Caleb Taylor CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nat Phillips
Nat Phillips, 29 · West Bromwich Albion · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 44
Nat Phillips, 29, plays as a centre-back for West Bromwich Albion in the Championship. Strongest for his role in fouls committed and clearances. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls committed | 0.48 / 90 | 77% |
| Clearances | 7.71 / 90 | 67% |
| Blocked shots | 1.08 / 90 | 60% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.89 / 90 | 60% |
| Duels won | 5.90 / 90 | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- What Nat Phillips is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nat Phillips's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall prediction
West Bromwich Albion should have more of the ball, with Millwall likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Millwall are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.64 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.36 for Millwall - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. West Bromwich Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Millwall
West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall betting tips
- Tip 1: West Bromwich Albion win or draw (double chance) 69% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.01 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall: questions and answers
When is West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?
West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 15.
Where is West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall played?
At The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, West Bromwich Albion's home ground.
Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?
West Bromwich Albion are the favourites: West Bromwich Albion 43%, draw 25%, Millwall 31%. Our prediction is West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Millwall.
Who is the player to watch in West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?
Nat Phillips of West Bromwich Albion: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.