West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 14
Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich · updated 2026-10-25
West Bromwich Albion welcome Southampton to The Hawthorns in West Bromwich in Championship Gameweek 14 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
West Bromwich Albion have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Southampton have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: West Bromwich Albion 36%, the draw 26%, Southampton 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion 1.43, Southampton 1.46.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
West Bromwich Albion: form and key numbers
In style West Bromwich Albion keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.46 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 55.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Southampton: form and key numbers
In style Southampton keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 56.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton: season averages side by side
| West Bromwich Albion | Per match this season | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.46 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 15.2 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.6 |
| 55.9 | Possession % | 56.6 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
West Bromwich Albion
- Max O'Leary GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 48 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Nat Phillips CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 44 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 23% of his position)
Southampton
- Daniel Peretz GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 51 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Léo Scienza LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Draws fouls, Press-resistant (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Keven Schlotterbeck
Keven Schlotterbeck, 29 · Southampton · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 46
Keven Schlotterbeck, 29, plays as a centre-back for Southampton in the Championship. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and fouls committed. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 46
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.10 / 90 | 95% |
| Fouls committed | 0.30 / 90 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 1.51 / 90 | 88% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.21 / 90 | 70% |
| Interceptions | 1.81 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Disciplined, Blocks shots.
- What Keven Schlotterbeck is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Keven Schlotterbeck's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton prediction
Southampton should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.43 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.46 for Southampton - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Southampton
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.89 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton: questions and answers
When is West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 14.
Where is West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton played?
At The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, West Bromwich Albion's home ground.
Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
It is close: West Bromwich Albion 36%, draw 26%, Southampton 38%. Our prediction is West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Southampton.
Who is the player to watch in West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
Keven Schlotterbeck of Southampton: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 46 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
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