Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 15
Championship · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground · updated 2026-10-25
Wrexham welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Racecourse Ground in Racecourse Ground in Championship Gameweek 15 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Wrexham have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Wolverhampton Wanderers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Wrexham 32%, the draw 27%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 41%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Wrexham 1.22, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.42.
- Over 2.5 goals: 49% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Wrexham: form and key numbers
In style Wrexham play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Wolverhampton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Wolverhampton Wanderers keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 0.93 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.8 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 54.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: season averages side by side
| Wrexham | Per match this season | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.72 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 0.93 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 16.8 |
| 3.4 | On target | 4.2 |
| 49.6 | Possession % | 54.9 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.5 | Corners | 7.1 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
Wrexham
- Kieffer Moore CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 39 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Callum Doyle CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 35 · Disciplined, Duel winner (top 27% of his position)
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Raúl Jiménez CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 52 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Duel winner (top 14% of his position)
- Ladislav Krejci CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 45 · Long passer, Hard to dribble past (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mateus Mané
Mateus Mané, 19 · Wolverhampton Wanderers · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 49
Mateus Mané, 19, plays as a winger for Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in key passes and accurate crosses. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 49
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 46
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.65 / 90 | 75% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.20 / 90 | 72% |
| Fouls won | 2.41 / 90 | 69% |
| Shots | 3.25 / 90 | 64% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.28 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- What Mateus Mané is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mateus Mané's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.22 for Wrexham and 1.42 for Wolverhampton Wanderers - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Wrexham 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.64 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 12.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Championship previews
- Sheffield United vs Wrexham Friday 30 October 2026
- Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026
- Norwich City vs Watford Saturday 31 October 2026
- Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Saturday 31 October 2026
- West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Saturday 31 October 2026
- Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: questions and answers
When is Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 15.
Where is Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers played?
At Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground, Wrexham's home ground.
Who will win Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
It is close: Wrexham 32%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 41%. Our prediction is Wrexham 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Who is the player to watch in Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Mateus Mané of Wolverhampton Wanderers: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 49 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.