Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Saudi Pro League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:55 UTC · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah · updated 2026-10-25
Al-Fayha welcome Al Faisaly to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah) in Al Majma'ah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:55 UTC.
Al-Fayha have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 9% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Al Faisaly have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 10% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al-Fayha 40%, the draw 26%, Al Faisaly 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al-Fayha 1.50, Al Faisaly 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al-Fayha: form and key numbers
In style Al-Fayha are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.95 a match created, 2.21 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.6).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Al Faisaly: form and key numbers
In style Al Faisaly play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.75 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly: season averages side by side
| Al-Fayha | Per match this season | Al Faisaly |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 0.95 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 2.21 | xG conceded | 1.75 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 9.0 |
| 3.6 | On target | 3.1 |
| 46.0 | Possession % | 48.7 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 70% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 2.6 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Al-Fayha
- Orlando Mosquera GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 34 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 26% of his position)
- Nawaf Al-Harthi CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 17 · Secure passer, Dribbler (top 30% of his position)
Al Faisaly
- Flávio CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 18 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 21% of his position)
- Andrei Girotto CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 33% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Makhir Al-Rashidi
Makhir Al-Rashidi, 27 · Al-Fayha · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 18
Makhir Al-Rashidi, 27, plays as a centre-back for Al-Fayha in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and pass accuracy. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 18
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 71% |
| Blocked shots | 1.32 / 90 | 53% |
| Fouls committed | 0.55 / 90 | 44% |
| Clearances | 8.57 / 90 | 40% |
Roles he suits
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past.
- What Makhir Al-Rashidi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Makhir Al-Rashidi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly prediction
Al Faisaly should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.50 for Al-Fayha and 1.36 for Al Faisaly - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al-Fayha 1-1 Al Faisaly
Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.87 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly: questions and answers
When is Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly?
Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:55 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly played?
At Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah, Al-Fayha's home ground.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly?
It is close: Al-Fayha 40%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly 34%. Our prediction is Al-Fayha 1-1 Al Faisaly.
Who is the player to watch in Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly?
Makhir Al-Rashidi of Al-Fayha: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 18 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.