Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Saudi Pro League · Friday 30 October 2026 · 14:50 UTC · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh · updated 2026-10-25
Al Diraiyah FC welcome NEOM SC to Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Riyadh in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 14:50 UTC.
Al Diraiyah FC have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 25% win rate. NEOM SC have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 55% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Diraiyah FC 32%, the draw 31%, NEOM SC 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Diraiyah FC 1.04, NEOM SC 1.12.
- Over 2.5 goals: 37% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Diraiyah FC: form and key numbers
In style Al Diraiyah FC take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.35 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.8).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
NEOM SC: form and key numbers
In style NEOM SC keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.41 a match created, 1.30 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 53.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC: season averages side by side
| Al Diraiyah FC | Per match this season | NEOM SC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.41 |
| 1.35 | xG conceded | 1.30 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 3.0 | On target | 3.9 |
| 49.1 | Possession % | 53.5 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 27% | Both teams scored % | 27% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.81 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Al Diraiyah FC
- Nikola Vasilj GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 26 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 31% of his position)
- Amin Al-Bukhari GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 20 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 35% of his position)
NEOM SC
- Saïd Benrahma LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 34 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Marcin Bulka GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 26 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 29% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Islam Hawsawi
Islam Hawsawi, 24 · NEOM SC · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 21
Islam Hawsawi, 24, plays as a full-back for NEOM SC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and successful dribbles. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 73% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.92 / 90 | 53% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.66 / 90 | 52% |
| Key passes | 1.19 / 90 | 42% |
| Dribbled past | 0.40 / 90 | 40% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- What Islam Hawsawi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Islam Hawsawi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC prediction
NEOM SC should have more of the ball; Al Diraiyah FC like to take players on; NEOM SC go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.04 for Al Diraiyah FC and 1.12 for NEOM SC - with over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 44%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Diraiyah FC 1-1 NEOM SC
Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 36%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 2.16 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 10.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
- Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC: questions and answers
When is Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC?
Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC is on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 14:50 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC played?
At Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh, Al Diraiyah FC's home ground.
Who will win Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC?
It is close: Al Diraiyah FC 32%, draw 31%, NEOM SC 36%. Our prediction is Al Diraiyah FC 1-1 NEOM SC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC?
Islam Hawsawi of NEOM SC: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 21 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.