Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Saudi Pro League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 13:30 UTC · King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah · updated 2026-10-25
Al Taawoun welcome Al Ettifaq to King Abdullah Sport City Stadium in Buraydah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Al Taawoun have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. Al Ettifaq have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 80% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Ettifaq are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Al Taawoun at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Taawoun 1.12, Al Ettifaq 1.46.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Taawoun: form and key numbers
In style Al Taawoun keep the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.3).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Al Ettifaq: form and key numbers
In style Al Ettifaq keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 53.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (80% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq: season averages side by side
| Al Taawoun | Per match this season | Al Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.5 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.33 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.56 |
| 13.1 | Shots | 13.4 |
| 3.2 | On target | 5.4 |
| 53.8 | Possession % | 53.3 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 45% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 6.2 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Al Taawoun
- Aschraf El Mahdioui DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 20 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 8% of his position)
- Ibrahim Mahnashi DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 18 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 41% of his position)
Al Ettifaq
- Khalid Al-Ghannam LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 23 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 35% of his position)
- Turki Ba Al-Jawsh GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 23 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Álvaro Medrán
Álvaro Medrán, 32 · Al Ettifaq · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 23
Álvaro Medrán, 32, plays as a central midfielder for Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 23
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 19
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 16
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.34 / 90 | 82% |
| Key passes | 2.80 / 90 | 76% |
| Long balls | 4.01 / 90 | 71% |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 49% |
| Expected goals | 0.14 / 90 | 39% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator.
- What Álvaro Medrán is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Álvaro Medrán's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq prediction
Al Taawoun should have more of the ball; Al Taawoun like to take players on; Al Ettifaq press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.12 for Al Taawoun and 1.46 for Al Ettifaq - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%. Al Ettifaq have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Taawoun 1-2 Al Ettifaq
Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq betting tips
- Tip 1: Al Ettifaq win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 52% by the model, 2.58 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq: questions and answers
When is Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq played?
At King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah, Al Taawoun's home ground.
Who will win Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Ettifaq are the favourites: Al Taawoun 28%, draw 28%, Al Ettifaq 44%. Our prediction is Al Taawoun 1-2 Al Ettifaq.
Who is the player to watch in Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq?
Álvaro Medrán of Al Ettifaq: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 23 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.