Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · EGO STADIUM, Ad Dammām · updated 2026-10-25
Al Ettifaq welcome Al Hilal to EGO STADIUM in Ad Dammām in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Ettifaq have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 45% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 20% win rate. Al Hilal have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 90% of them. Away from home they average 3.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 56% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Hilal are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Al Ettifaq at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Ettifaq 1.20, Al Hilal 2.41.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Ettifaq: form and key numbers
In style Al Ettifaq keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 53.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (20% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Al Hilal: form and key numbers
In style Al Hilal keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 3.10 a match created, 1.02 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.0).
- Shots: 19.6 a match, 7.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (60% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.07.
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal: season averages side by side
| Al Ettifaq | Per match this season | Al Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.10 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.02 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 19.6 |
| 5.4 | On target | 7.0 |
| 53.3 | Possession % | 55.8 |
| 45% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 7.07 |
Players to watch
Al Ettifaq
- Khalid Al-Ghannam LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 23 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 35% of his position)
- Álvaro Medrán CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 23 · Creator, Chance creator (top 18% of his position)
Al Hilal
- Yassine Bounou GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 24 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 5% of his position)
- Ollie Watkins CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 24 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 19% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville, 24 · Al Hilal · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 33
Crysencio Summerville, 24, plays as a winger for Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and big chances created. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 33
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 30
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 30
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.50 / 90 | 78% |
| Big chances created | 0.71 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 57% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.22 / 90 | 56% |
| Shots | 3.67 / 90 | 41% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★½ Inside forward Winger
- What Crysencio Summerville is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Crysencio Summerville's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal prediction
Al Hilal should have more of the ball; Al Ettifaq press high to win the ball back; Al Hilal work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.20 for Al Ettifaq and 2.41 for Al Hilal - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 64%. Al Hilal have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Ettifaq 1-3 Al Hilal
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal betting tips
- Tip 1: Al Hilal to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.61 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal: questions and answers
When is Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal played?
At EGO STADIUM, Ad Dammām, Al Ettifaq's home ground.
Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Al Hilal are the favourites: Al Ettifaq 17%, draw 19%, Al Hilal 64%. Our prediction is Al Ettifaq 1-3 Al Hilal.
Who is the player to watch in Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Crysencio Summerville of Al Hilal: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 33 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.