Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah · updated 2026-10-25
Al Faisaly welcome Al Diraiyah FC to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah) in Al Majma'ah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Faisaly have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 10% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Al Diraiyah FC have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Faisaly 31%, the draw 29%, Al Diraiyah FC 40%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Faisaly 1.12, Al Diraiyah FC 1.30.
- Over 2.5 goals: 44% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Faisaly: form and key numbers
In style Al Faisaly play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.75 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Al Diraiyah FC: form and key numbers
In style Al Diraiyah FC take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.35 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.8).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC: season averages side by side
| Al Faisaly | Per match this season | Al Diraiyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 9.0 | Shots | 12.4 |
| 3.1 | On target | 3.0 |
| 48.7 | Possession % | 49.1 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 70% | Both teams scored % | 27% |
| 2.6 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Al Faisaly
- Flávio CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 18 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 21% of his position)
- Andrei Girotto CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 33% of his position)
Al Diraiyah FC
- Nikola Vasilj GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 26 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 31% of his position)
- Amin Al-Bukhari GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 20 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye, 37 · Al Diraiyah FC · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 20
Idrissa Gueye, 37, plays as a defensive midfielder for Al Diraiyah FC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dispossessed. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 20
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 16
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 70% |
| Dispossessed | 0.23 / 90 | 58% |
| Tackles | 3.57 / 90 | 54% |
| Interceptions | 1.73 / 90 | 27% |
| Fouls committed | 1.04 / 90 | 21% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- What Idrissa Gueye is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Idrissa Gueye's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC prediction
Al Diraiyah FC should have more of the ball; Al Faisaly go long and direct; Al Diraiyah FC like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.12 for Al Faisaly and 1.30 for Al Diraiyah FC - with over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Diraiyah FC
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.42 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC: questions and answers
When is Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC played?
At Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah, Al Faisaly's home ground.
Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
It is close: Al Faisaly 31%, draw 29%, Al Diraiyah FC 40%. Our prediction is Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Diraiyah FC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Idrissa Gueye of Al Diraiyah FC: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 20 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.