Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Al Fateh Club Stadium · updated 2026-10-25
Al Fateh welcome Al Riyadh to Al Fateh Club Stadium in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Fateh have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 9% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Al Riyadh have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 30% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Fateh 39%, the draw 27%, Al Riyadh 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Fateh 1.47, Al Riyadh 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Fateh: form and key numbers
In style Al Fateh are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.20 a match created, 2.03 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Al Riyadh: form and key numbers
In style Al Riyadh are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.95 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 41.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: season averages side by side
| Al Fateh | Per match this season | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 10 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.95 |
| 2.03 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 4.5 | On target | 3.1 |
| 44.1 | Possession % | 41.8 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Al Fateh
- Zaydou Youssouf CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 16 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 10% of his position)
- Walid Al-Enezi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 15 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 69% of his position)
Al Riyadh
- Kader Keita DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 15 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
- Victor Lekhal DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Disciplined (top 51% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mourad Batna
Mourad Batna, 36 · Al Fateh · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 23
Mourad Batna, 36, plays as a winger for Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 23
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 20
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 20
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.91 / 90 | 86% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.41 / 90 | 46% |
| Key passes | 2.61 / 90 | 36% |
| Big chances created | 0.40 / 90 | 36% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 34% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Mourad Batna is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mourad Batna's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction
Al Fateh should have more of the ball; Al Fateh like to take players on; Al Riyadh go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.47 for Al Fateh and 1.36 for Al Riyadh - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Riyadh
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.83 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: questions and answers
When is Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh played?
At Al Fateh Club Stadium, Al Fateh's home ground.
Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
It is close: Al Fateh 39%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 34%. Our prediction is Al Fateh 1-1 Al Riyadh.
Who is the player to watch in Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Mourad Batna of Al Fateh: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 23 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.