Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah · updated 2026-11-10
Al-Fayha welcome Al Fateh to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah) in Al Majma'ah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al-Fayha have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Al Fateh have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al-Fayha are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Al Fateh at 25%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al-Fayha 1.79, Al Fateh 1.20.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al-Fayha: form and key numbers
In style Al-Fayha are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.00 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Al Fateh: form and key numbers
In style Al Fateh are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 2.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 43.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh: season averages side by side
| Al-Fayha | Per match this season | Al Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 1.00 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.13 |
| 2.11 | xG conceded | 2.19 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 11.3 |
| 3.8 | On target | 4.1 |
| 46.0 | Possession % | 43.1 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.70 |
Players to watch
Al-Fayha
- Orlando Mosquera GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 29 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 34% of his position)
- Makhir Al-Rashidi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 14 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 6% of his position)
Al Fateh
- Adrian Semper GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 61% of his position)
- Mourad Batna RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 14 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 24% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Fashion Sakala
Fashion Sakala, 29 · Al-Fayha · SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 16
Fashion Sakala, 29, plays as a second striker for Al-Fayha in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in goals, luck taken out. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 16
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 14
- LW · Winger Natural, 14
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.90 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.23 / 90 | 32% |
| Shots | 3.20 / 90 | 26% |
| Assists, luck taken out | 0.22 / 90 | 26% |
| Key passes | 1.80 / 90 | 15% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Dribbler.
- What Fashion Sakala is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Fashion Sakala's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh prediction
Al-Fayha should have more of the ball; Al-Fayha go long and direct; Al Fateh like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.79 for Al-Fayha and 1.20 for Al Fateh - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al-Fayha have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al-Fayha 2-1 Al Fateh
Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh: what the numbers say
- 1. Al-Fayha unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.99 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh: questions and answers
When is Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh played?
At Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah, Al-Fayha's home ground.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Al-Fayha are the favourites: Al-Fayha 51%, draw 24%, Al Fateh 25%. Our prediction is Al-Fayha 2-1 Al Fateh.
Who is the player to watch in Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Fashion Sakala of Al-Fayha: a dribbling forward with a Moneyball Score of 16 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.