Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh · updated 2026-11-10
Al Riyadh welcome Al Hazm to Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Riyadh in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Riyadh have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Al Hazm have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Riyadh 39%, the draw 26%, Al Hazm 35%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Riyadh 1.49, Al Hazm 1.40.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Riyadh: form and key numbers
In style Al Riyadh are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created, 1.86 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 42.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Hazm: form and key numbers
In style Al Hazm are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 2.14 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 9.9 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 43.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm: season averages side by side
| Al Riyadh | Per match this season | Al Hazm |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 1.86 | xG conceded | 2.14 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 9.9 |
| 3.2 | On target | 3.4 |
| 42.1 | Possession % | 43.9 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Al Riyadh
- Kader Keita DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 12 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 21% of his position)
- Victor Lekhal DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 11 · Secure passer, Disciplined (top 50% of his position)
Al Hazm
- Amir Sayoud AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 26 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 18% of his position)
- Ibrahim Zaied GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 21 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 46% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Bernard Mensah
Bernard Mensah, 32 · Al Riyadh · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 13
Bernard Mensah, 32, plays as an attacking midfielder for Al Riyadh in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and big chances created. Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 13
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 13
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 100% |
| Big chances created | 0.50 / 90 | 38% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.88 / 90 | 36% |
| Fouls won | 1.88 / 90 | 20% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 16% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Bernard Mensah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Bernard Mensah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm prediction
Al Hazm should have more of the ball; Al Riyadh go long and direct; Al Hazm like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.49 for Al Riyadh and 1.40 for Al Hazm - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Hazm
Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 3 or more goals 55% by the model, 2.89 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm: questions and answers
When is Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm?
Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm played?
At Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh, Al Riyadh's home ground.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm?
It is close: Al Riyadh 39%, draw 26%, Al Hazm 35%. Our prediction is Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Hazm.
Who is the player to watch in Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm?
Bernard Mensah of Al Riyadh: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 13 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs Al Hazm?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.