Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Kingdom Arena · updated 2026-11-10
Al Hilal welcome Al Diraiyah FC to Kingdom Arena in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Hilal have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 91% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Al Diraiyah FC have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Hilal are clear favourites at 75%, with the draw at 16% and Al Diraiyah FC at 9%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Hilal 2.52, Al Diraiyah FC 0.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 3–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Hilal: form and key numbers
In style Al Hilal keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 3.19 a match created, 0.96 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.1).
- Shots: 19.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 56.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.09.
Al Diraiyah FC: form and key numbers
In style Al Diraiyah FC take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC: season averages side by side
| Al Hilal | Per match this season | Al Diraiyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.9 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 3.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.36 |
| 0.96 | xG conceded | 1.43 |
| 19.9 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 6.9 | On target | 3.2 |
| 56.9 | Possession % | 48.4 |
| 55% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 6.6 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 7.09 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Al Hilal
- Yassine Bounou GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Ollie Watkins CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 22 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 6% of his position)
Al Diraiyah FC
- Nikola Vasilj GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 23 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 29% of his position)
- Idrissa Gueye DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 16 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 42% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville, 25 · Al Hilal · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 24
Crysencio Summerville, 25, plays as a winger for Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and big chances created. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 24
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 23
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.49 / 90 | 67% |
| Big chances created | 0.65 / 90 | 64% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.20 / 90 | 52% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 46% |
| Dispossessed | 0.83 / 90 | 28% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Creative winger Winger
- What Crysencio Summerville is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Crysencio Summerville's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC prediction
Al Hilal should have more of the ball, with Al Diraiyah FC likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Al Hilal work the ball wide and cross; Al Diraiyah FC like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.52 for Al Hilal and 0.76 for Al Diraiyah FC - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 49%. Al Hilal have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Hilal 3-0 Al Diraiyah FC
Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Hilal win, the likeliest result 75% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 64% by the model, 3.28 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC: questions and answers
When is Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC played?
At Kingdom Arena, Al Hilal's home ground.
Who will win Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Al Hilal are the favourites: Al Hilal 75%, draw 16%, Al Diraiyah FC 9%. Our prediction is Al Hilal 3-0 Al Diraiyah FC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Crysencio Summerville of Al Hilal: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 24 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Hilal vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.