NEOM SC vs Al Kholood Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk · updated 2026-11-10
NEOM SC welcome Al Kholood to King Khalid Sport City Stadium in Tabouk in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
NEOM SC have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 57% win rate. Al Kholood have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, NEOM SC are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 21% and Al Kholood at 20%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: NEOM SC 2.14, Al Kholood 1.18.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
NEOM SC: form and key numbers
In style NEOM SC keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 1.31 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Al Kholood: form and key numbers
In style Al Kholood play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.1).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
NEOM SC vs Al Kholood: season averages side by side
| NEOM SC | Per match this season | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.92 |
| 1.31 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 12.8 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.4 |
| 53.9 | Possession % | 47.5 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
NEOM SC
- Marcin Bulka GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 25 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 28% of his position)
- Alaa Hejji CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 15 · Secure passer, Gets into scoring positions (top 36% of his position)
Al Kholood
- John Buckley CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 21 · Chance creator, Creator (top 20% of his position)
- Julien Domingues CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 19 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Saïd Benrahma
Saïd Benrahma, 31 · NEOM SC · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 28
Saïd Benrahma, 31, plays as a winger for NEOM SC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 28
- LW · Winger Natural, 28
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 25
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.19 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.54 / 90 | 76% |
| Expected goals | 0.58 / 90 | 71% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.78 / 90 | 68% |
| Key passes | 3.36 / 90 | 47% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator.
- What Saïd Benrahma is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Saïd Benrahma's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
NEOM SC vs Al Kholood prediction
NEOM SC should have more of the ball, with Al Kholood likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; NEOM SC go long and direct; Al Kholood work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.14 for NEOM SC and 1.18 for Al Kholood - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 62%. NEOM SC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: NEOM SC 2-1 Al Kholood
NEOM SC vs Al Kholood: what the numbers say
- 1. NEOM SC win, the likeliest result 59% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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NEOM SC vs Al Kholood: questions and answers
When is NEOM SC vs Al Kholood?
NEOM SC vs Al Kholood is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is NEOM SC vs Al Kholood played?
At King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk, NEOM SC's home ground.
Who will win NEOM SC vs Al Kholood?
NEOM SC are the favourites: NEOM SC 59%, draw 21%, Al Kholood 20%. Our prediction is NEOM SC 2-1 Al Kholood.
Who is the player to watch in NEOM SC vs Al Kholood?
Saïd Benrahma of NEOM SC: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 28 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in NEOM SC vs Al Kholood?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.