Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Al Khaleej Club Stadium, Sihat · updated 2026-11-10
Al Khaleej welcome Al Ittihad to Al Khaleej Club Stadium in Sihat in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Khaleej have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Al Ittihad have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 64% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Ittihad are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 26% and Al Khaleej at 25%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Khaleej 1.12, Al Ittihad 1.65.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Khaleej: form and key numbers
In style Al Khaleej play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Ittihad: form and key numbers
In style Al Ittihad take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 2.01 a match created, 1.36 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad: season averages side by side
| Al Khaleej | Per match this season | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.01 |
| 1.42 | xG conceded | 1.36 |
| 9.8 | Shots | 14.8 |
| 3.3 | On target | 5.2 |
| 48.7 | Possession % | 51.7 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Al Khaleej
- Angelo Fulgini AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 25 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 15% of his position)
- Marwan Al-Haidari GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 18 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 39% of his position)
Al Ittihad
- Predrag Rajković GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 26 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Youssef En-Nesyri CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 16 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 26% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Pedro Rebocho
Pedro Rebocho, 31 · Al Khaleej · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 16
Pedro Rebocho, 31, plays as a full-back for Al Khaleej in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 16
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 0.82 / 90 | 61% |
| Key passes | 1.37 / 90 | 49% |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 40% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.73 / 90 | 39% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.12 / 90 | 34% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- What Pedro Rebocho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Pedro Rebocho's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad prediction
Al Ittihad should have more of the ball; Al Khaleej go long and direct; Al Ittihad like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.12 for Al Khaleej and 1.65 for Al Ittihad - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Al Ittihad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Ittihad
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Ittihad unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.77 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad: questions and answers
When is Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad played?
At Al Khaleej Club Stadium, Sihat, Al Khaleej's home ground.
Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Al Ittihad are the favourites: Al Khaleej 25%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad 49%. Our prediction is Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Ittihad.
Who is the player to watch in Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Pedro Rebocho of Al Khaleej: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 16 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.