Al Taawoun vs Abha Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Saudi Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah · updated 2026-11-10
Al Taawoun welcome Abha to King Abdullah Sport City Stadium in Buraydah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Taawoun have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Abha have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Taawoun 39%, the draw 31%, Abha 30%.
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Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Taawoun 1.15, Abha 0.96.
- Over 2.5 goals: 35% · both teams to score: 43%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Taawoun: form and key numbers
In style Al Taawoun play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.6).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Abha: form and key numbers
In style Abha are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.96 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Al Taawoun vs Abha: season averages side by side
| Al Taawoun | Per match this season | Abha |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.5 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.41 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 9.4 |
| 3.1 | On target | 3.2 |
| 52.3 | Possession % | 45.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 42% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.63 |
Players to watch
Al Taawoun
- Aschraf El Mahdioui DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 15 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 13% of his position)
- Rakan Al-Tulayhi AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 15 · Secure passer, Big-chance creator (top 47% of his position)
Abha
- Safwan Al-Johani LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 15 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 32% of his position)
- Nasser Al-Daajani CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 14 · Long passer, Dribbler (top 36% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mohammed Al-Dawsari
Mohammed Al-Dawsari, 27 · Abha · RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 18
Mohammed Al-Dawsari, 27, plays as a full-back for Abha in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and accurate crosses. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 18
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 1.20 / 90 | 62% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.90 / 90 | 61% |
| Tackles | 4.52 / 90 | 54% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.13 / 90 | 37% |
| Duels won | 7.53 / 90 | 26% |
Roles he suits
- ★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- What Mohammed Al-Dawsari is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mohammed Al-Dawsari's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Taawoun vs Abha prediction
Al Taawoun should have more of the ball, with Abha likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Al Taawoun go long and direct; Abha like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 1.15 for Al Taawoun and 0.96 for Abha - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 43%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Taawoun 1-1 Abha
Al Taawoun vs Abha: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 65% by the model, 2.11 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al Taawoun vs Abha: questions and answers
When is Al Taawoun vs Abha?
Al Taawoun vs Abha is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14.
Where is Al Taawoun vs Abha played?
At King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraydah, Al Taawoun's home ground.
Who will win Al Taawoun vs Abha?
It is close: Al Taawoun 39%, draw 31%, Abha 30%. Our prediction is Al Taawoun 1-1 Abha.
Who is the player to watch in Al Taawoun vs Abha?
Mohammed Al-Dawsari of Abha: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 18 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Taawoun vs Abha?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.