Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass)), Rass · updated 2026-10-25
Al Kholood welcome Al Khaleej to Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass)) in Rass in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Al Kholood have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Al Khaleej have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Kholood are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 24% and Al Khaleej at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Kholood 1.79, Al Khaleej 1.20.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Kholood: form and key numbers
In style Al Kholood play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created, 1.80 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.2).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Al Khaleej: form and key numbers
In style Al Khaleej play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.2).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej: season averages side by side
| Al Kholood | Per match this season | Al Khaleej |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.93 |
| 1.80 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 13.1 | Shots | 9.3 |
| 4.3 | On target | 2.8 |
| 47.7 | Possession % | 47.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 70% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Al Kholood
- Coba da Costa LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 21 · Dribbler, Crosser (top 29% of his position)
- Seydouba Cissé CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 20 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 14% of his position)
Al Khaleej
- Marwan Al-Haidari GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 20 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 41% of his position)
- Pedro Rebocho LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 19 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 31% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: John Buckley
John Buckley, 27 · Al Kholood · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 26
John Buckley, 27, plays as a central midfielder for Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 26
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 22
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.42 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 82% |
| Interceptions | 1.94 / 90 | 65% |
| Long balls | 3.08 / 90 | 49% |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 48% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What John Buckley is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open John Buckley's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej prediction
Al Kholood should have more of the ball; Al Kholood work the ball wide and cross; Al Khaleej go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.79 for Al Kholood and 1.20 for Al Khaleej - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%. Al Kholood have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Kholood 2-1 Al Khaleej
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej betting tips
- Tip 1: Al Kholood win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.99 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej: questions and answers
When is Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?
Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej played?
At Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass)), Rass, Al Kholood's home ground.
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?
Al Kholood are the favourites: Al Kholood 51%, draw 24%, Al Khaleej 25%. Our prediction is Al Kholood 2-1 Al Khaleej.
Who is the player to watch in Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?
John Buckley of Al Kholood: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 26 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.