Bragantino vs Santos Prediction and Betting Tips | Brasileirão Gameweek 34
Brasileirão · Monday 2 November 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista · updated 2026-10-25
Bragantino welcome Santos to Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid in Bragança Paulista in Brasileirão Gameweek 34 action on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Bragantino have played 32 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 34% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 64% win rate. Santos have played 32 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 16 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Bragantino 37%, the draw 26%, Santos 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bragantino 1.46, Santos 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (32 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Bragantino: form and key numbers
In style Bragantino play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.81 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.9).
- Shots: 16.8 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (63% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Santos: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.2).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Bragantino vs Santos: season averages side by side
| Bragantino | Per match this season | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Matches | 32 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.34 |
| 1.81 | xG conceded | 1.16 |
| 16.8 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 5.3 | On target | 4.2 |
| 49.6 | Possession % | 49.9 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 19% |
| 53% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 2.7 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Bragantino
- Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 72 · Chance creator, Dribbler (top 4% of his position)
- Tiago Volpi GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
Santos
- Benjamín Rollheiser RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 71 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Neymar AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 62 · Draws fouls, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Henry Mosquera
Henry Mosquera, 24 · Bragantino · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 65
Henry Mosquera, 24, plays as a winger for Bragantino in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and key passes. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 65
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 5.72 / 90 | 100% |
| Key passes | 2.66 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 85% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.09 / 90 | 77% |
| Shots | 2.86 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Henry Mosquera is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Henry Mosquera's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bragantino vs Santos prediction
Santos should have more of the ball; Bragantino work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.46 for Bragantino and 1.44 for Santos - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Bragantino 1-1 Santos
Bragantino vs Santos betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 15.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Brasileirão previews
- Coritiba vs Grêmio Monday 26 October 2026
- Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Monday 26 October 2026
- Bragantino vs Chapecoense Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Santos vs Palmeiras Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Fluminense vs Internacional Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Remo vs Botafogo Thursday 29 October 2026
- Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026
- Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Thursday 29 October 2026
Bragantino vs Santos: questions and answers
When is Bragantino vs Santos?
Bragantino vs Santos is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in Brasileirão Gameweek 34.
Where is Bragantino vs Santos played?
At Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Bragantino's home ground.
Who will win Bragantino vs Santos?
It is close: Bragantino 37%, draw 26%, Santos 37%. Our prediction is Bragantino 1-1 Santos.
Who is the player to watch in Bragantino vs Santos?
Henry Mosquera of Bragantino: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bragantino vs Santos?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.