CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Stade Saputo, Montreal · updated 2026-10-25
CF Montréal welcome Vancouver Whitecaps to Stade Saputo in Montreal in MLS action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
CF Montréal have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 19% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 16 matches, with a 67% win rate. Vancouver Whitecaps have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 52% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 44% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 21% and CF Montréal at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: CF Montréal 1.05, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.11.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
CF Montréal: form and key numbers
In style CF Montréal cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.1).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 52% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Vancouver Whitecaps: form and key numbers
In style Vancouver Whitecaps keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.20 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 16.5 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 55.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 39% of matches (42% away).
- Both teams scored in 48% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: season averages side by side
| CF Montréal | Per match this season | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.04 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 1.20 |
| 12.9 | Shots | 16.5 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.7 |
| 48.1 | Possession % | 55.4 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 39% |
| 52% | Both teams scored % | 48% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
CF Montréal
- Iván Jaime AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 34 · Through-ball threat, Dribbler (top 6% of his position)
- Viktor Radojević LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 33 · Creator, Chance creator (top 28% of his position)
Vancouver Whitecaps
- Thomas Müller SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 46 · Chance creator, Creator (top 9% of his position)
- Bruno Caicedo LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 41 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter, 25 · Vancouver Whitecaps · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 51
Sebastian Berhalter, 25, plays as a central midfielder for Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and long balls. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 51
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.45 / 90 | 98% |
| Long balls | 5.20 / 90 | 95% |
| Key passes | 3.12 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.25 / 90 | 84% |
| Dispossessed | 0.48 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Long passer, Chance creator.
- What Sebastian Berhalter is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sebastian Berhalter's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps should have more of the ball, with CF Montréal likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.05 for CF Montréal and 2.11 for Vancouver Whitecaps - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 58%. Vancouver Whitecaps have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: CF Montréal 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps betting tips
- Tip 1: Vancouver Whitecaps to win 61% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.15 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: questions and answers
When is CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
At Stade Saputo, Montreal, CF Montréal's home ground.
Who will win CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps are the favourites: CF Montréal 17%, draw 21%, Vancouver Whitecaps 61%. Our prediction is CF Montréal 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Who is the player to watch in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Sebastian Berhalter of Vancouver Whitecaps: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 51 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.