Charlotte vs CF Montréal Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Wednesday 28 October 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte · updated 2026-10-25
Charlotte welcome CF Montréal to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte in MLS action on Wednesday 28 October 2026, kick-off 23:30 UTC.
Charlotte have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 62% win rate. CF Montréal have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 19% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 15 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Charlotte are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 22% and CF Montréal at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Charlotte 2.13, CF Montréal 1.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Charlotte: form and key numbers
In style Charlotte play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
CF Montréal: form and key numbers
In style CF Montréal cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.1).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 52% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Charlotte vs CF Montréal: season averages side by side
| Charlotte | Per match this season | CF Montréal |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.39 |
| 2.11 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.4 | On target | 4.8 |
| 46.5 | Possession % | 48.1 |
| 16% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 52% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Charlotte
- Kristijan Kahlina GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Allan Saint-Maximin LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 48 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 7% of his position)
CF Montréal
- Iván Jaime AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 34 · Through-ball threat, Dribbler (top 6% of his position)
- Viktor Radojević LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 33 · Creator, Chance creator (top 28% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu, 29 · CF Montréal · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 33
Prince Owusu, 29, plays as a centre-forward for CF Montréal in the MLS. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 33
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 30
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 92% |
| Shots on target | 48% | 76% |
| Key passes | 1.67 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.58 / 90 | 48% |
| Goals | 0.38 / 90 | 21% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots.
- What Prince Owusu is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Prince Owusu's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Charlotte vs CF Montréal prediction
CF Montréal should have more of the ball; Charlotte go long and direct; CF Montréal work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 2.13 for Charlotte and 1.33 for CF Montréal - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 65%. Charlotte have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Charlotte 2-1 CF Montréal
Charlotte vs CF Montréal betting tips
- Tip 1: Charlotte to win 55% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.46 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Charlotte vs CF Montréal: questions and answers
When is Charlotte vs CF Montréal?
Charlotte vs CF Montréal is on Wednesday 28 October 2026, kick-off 23:30 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Charlotte vs CF Montréal played?
At Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, Charlotte's home ground.
Who will win Charlotte vs CF Montréal?
Charlotte are the favourites: Charlotte 55%, draw 22%, CF Montréal 23%. Our prediction is Charlotte 2-1 CF Montréal.
Who is the player to watch in Charlotte vs CF Montréal?
Prince Owusu of CF Montréal: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 33 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs CF Montréal?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.