Charlotte vs Orlando City Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte · updated 2026-10-25
Charlotte welcome Orlando City to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte in MLS action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Charlotte have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 62% win rate. Orlando City have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 39% of them. Away from home they average 1.9 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 15 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Charlotte are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 21% and Orlando City at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Charlotte 2.34, Orlando City 1.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 78% · both teams to score: 75%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Charlotte: form and key numbers
In style Charlotte play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Orlando City: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.57 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +11.4).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Charlotte vs Orlando City: season averages side by side
| Charlotte | Per match this season | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.57 |
| 2.11 | xG conceded | 1.96 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.4 | On target | 5.1 |
| 46.5 | Possession % | 50.0 |
| 16% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Charlotte
- Kristijan Kahlina GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Allan Saint-Maximin LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 48 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 7% of his position)
Orlando City
- Joran Gerbet DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 33 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
- Wilder Cartagena DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 33 · Blocks shots, Secure passer (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann, 35 · Orlando City · SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 60
Antoine Griezmann, 35, plays as a second striker for Orlando City in the MLS. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and assists. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 60
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 51
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.40 / 90 | 91% |
| Assists | 0.41 / 90 | 91% |
| Goals | 0.88 / 90 | 91% |
| Key passes | 2.50 / 90 | 78% |
| Expected goals | 0.43 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Creator, Provider, Clinical finisher.
⚠ 13 goals from only 6.4 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Antoine Griezmann is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Antoine Griezmann's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Charlotte vs Orlando City prediction
Orlando City should have more of the ball; Charlotte go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 2.34 for Charlotte and 1.76 for Orlando City - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 75%. Charlotte have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Charlotte 3-1 Orlando City
Charlotte vs Orlando City betting tips
- Tip 1: Charlotte win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 59% by the model, 4.11 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 75% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
- Los Angeles FC vs LA Galaxy Monday 26 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New York City vs Atlanta United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
Charlotte vs Orlando City: questions and answers
When is Charlotte vs Orlando City?
Charlotte vs Orlando City is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Charlotte vs Orlando City played?
At Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, Charlotte's home ground.
Who will win Charlotte vs Orlando City?
Charlotte are the favourites: Charlotte 51%, draw 21%, Orlando City 29%. Our prediction is Charlotte 3-1 Orlando City.
Who is the player to watch in Charlotte vs Orlando City?
Antoine Griezmann of Orlando City: a link-up forward with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Orlando City?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.