Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 01:30 UTC · Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Denver · updated 2026-10-25
Colorado Rapids welcome Chicago Fire to Dick's Sporting Goods Park in Denver in MLS action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
Colorado Rapids have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 39% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 16 matches, with a 83% win rate. Chicago Fire have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 48% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 16 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Colorado Rapids are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Chicago Fire at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Colorado Rapids 1.49, Chicago Fire 1.17.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Colorado Rapids: form and key numbers
In style Colorado Rapids keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.54 a match created, 0.93 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.7).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 55.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 35% of matches (73% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Chicago Fire: form and key numbers
In style Chicago Fire create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.80 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 23% of matches (43% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: season averages side by side
| Colorado Rapids | Per match this season | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 0.93 | xG conceded | 1.48 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 4.3 | On target | 5.2 |
| 55.7 | Possession % | 51.7 |
| 35% | Clean sheets % | 23% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Colorado Rapids
- Morgan Whittaker RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 41 · Crosser, Gets into scoring positions (top 23% of his position)
- Donavan Phillip CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 36 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 11% of his position)
Chicago Fire
- Hugo Cuypers CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 55 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 2% of his position)
- Sergio Oregel DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 35 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel, 31 · Chicago Fire · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Philip Zinckernagel, 31, plays as a winger for Chicago Fire in the MLS. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.89 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.42 / 90 | 83% |
| Big chances created | 0.53 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 75% |
| Shots | 3.52 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Philip Zinckernagel is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Philip Zinckernagel's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire prediction
Colorado Rapids should have more of the ball; Colorado Rapids press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Colorado Rapids and 1.17 for Chicago Fire - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%. Colorado Rapids have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Colorado Rapids 2-1 Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire betting tips
- Tip 1: Colorado Rapids win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.66 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 12.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: questions and answers
When is Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire played?
At Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Denver, Colorado Rapids's home ground.
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
Colorado Rapids are the favourites: Colorado Rapids 44%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 29%. Our prediction is Colorado Rapids 2-1 Chicago Fire.
Who is the player to watch in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
Philip Zinckernagel of Chicago Fire: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
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