Columbus Crew vs DC United Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Lower.com Field · updated 2026-10-25
Columbus Crew welcome DC United to Lower.com Field in MLS action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Columbus Crew have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 16 matches, with a 73% win rate. DC United have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 23% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 15 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Columbus Crew are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 23% and DC United at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Columbus Crew 1.95, DC United 1.17.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Columbus Crew: form and key numbers
In style Columbus Crew keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 1.40 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.7).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
DC United: form and key numbers
In style DC United are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 39.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Columbus Crew vs DC United: season averages side by side
| Columbus Crew | Per match this season | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.49 |
| 1.40 | xG conceded | 1.98 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 4.6 | On target | 4.3 |
| 55.0 | Possession % | 39.5 |
| 19% | Clean sheets % | 19% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 61% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Columbus Crew
- Santiago Rodríguez AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 36 · Draws fouls, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
- Gonzalo Tapia CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 34 · Clinical finisher, Accurate shooter (top 38% of his position)
DC United
- Nikola Marković CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 37 · Hard to dribble past, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
- Hosei Kijima CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 34 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Dylan Chambost
Dylan Chambost, 29 · Columbus Crew · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 50
Dylan Chambost, 29, plays as a central midfielder for Columbus Crew in the MLS. Strongest for his role in long balls and pass accuracy. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 4.90 / 90 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 93% |
| Dispossessed | 0.35 / 90 | 85% |
| Passes | 80.14 / 90 | 84% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Secure passer, Press-resistant.
- What Dylan Chambost is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Dylan Chambost's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Columbus Crew vs DC United prediction
Columbus Crew should have more of the ball, with DC United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; DC United go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.95 for Columbus Crew and 1.17 for DC United - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 60%. Columbus Crew have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United
Columbus Crew vs DC United betting tips
- Tip 1: Columbus Crew win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
- Los Angeles FC vs LA Galaxy Monday 26 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New York City vs Atlanta United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
Columbus Crew vs DC United: questions and answers
When is Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Columbus Crew vs DC United is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Columbus Crew vs DC United played?
At Lower.com Field, Columbus Crew's home ground.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Columbus Crew are the favourites: Columbus Crew 55%, draw 23%, DC United 22%. Our prediction is Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United.
Who is the player to watch in Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Dylan Chambost of Columbus Crew: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 50 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
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