DC United vs New York City Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Audi Field, Washington · updated 2026-10-25
DC United welcome New York City to Audi Field in Washington in MLS action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
DC United have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 23% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 16 matches, with a 71% win rate. New York City have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 26% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 16 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: DC United 33%, the draw 26%, New York City 41%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: DC United 1.35, New York City 1.55.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
DC United: form and key numbers
In style DC United are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 39.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
New York City: form and key numbers
In style New York City keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.51 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 68% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
DC United vs New York City: season averages side by side
| DC United | Per match this season | New York City |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.51 |
| 1.98 | xG conceded | 1.43 |
| 12.8 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.6 |
| 39.5 | Possession % | 54.0 |
| 19% | Clean sheets % | 16% |
| 61% | Both teams scored % | 68% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
DC United
- Nikola Marković CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 37 · Hard to dribble past, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
- Hosei Kijima CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 34 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
New York City
- Tayvon Gray RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 38 · Hard to dribble past, Creator (top 22% of his position)
- Talles Magno LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 38 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: James Sands
James Sands, 26 · New York City · DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 42
James Sands, 26, plays as a defensive midfielder for New York City in the MLS. Strongest for his role in dispossessed and dribbled past. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 42
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 40
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 35
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dispossessed | 0.06 / 90 | 100% |
| Dribbled past | 0.32 / 90 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 0.96 / 90 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 82% |
| Long balls | 3.07 / 90 | 58% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Press-resistant, Hard to dribble past, Blocks shots.
- What James Sands is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open James Sands's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
DC United vs New York City prediction
New York City should have more of the ball, with DC United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; DC United go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.35 for DC United and 1.55 for New York City - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: DC United 1-1 New York City
DC United vs New York City betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
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- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
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- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
DC United vs New York City: questions and answers
When is DC United vs New York City?
DC United vs New York City is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is DC United vs New York City played?
At Audi Field, Washington, DC United's home ground.
Who will win DC United vs New York City?
It is close: DC United 33%, draw 26%, New York City 41%. Our prediction is DC United 1-1 New York City.
Who is the player to watch in DC United vs New York City?
James Sands of New York City: a anchor with a Moneyball Score of 42 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs New York City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.