Ferencvárosi vs Torreense Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 3
Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Groupama Aréna, Budapest · updated 2026-10-17
Ferencvárosi welcome Torreense to Groupama Aréna in Budapest in Europa League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Ferencvárosi have played 10 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 80% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Torreense have played 2 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Ferencvárosi are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 24% and Torreense at 15%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Ferencvárosi 1.81, Torreense 0.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Ferencvárosi: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created (goals minus xG: +8.9).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 46.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Torreense: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 7.0 a match, 2.0 on target.
- Possession: 36.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense: season averages side by side
| Ferencvárosi | Per match this season | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 2 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 7.0 |
| 3.9 | On target | 2.0 |
| 46.9 | Possession % | 36.0 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 2.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.90 | Average rating | 6.71 |
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.81 for Ferencvárosi and 0.76 for Torreense - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 45%. Ferencvárosi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Ferencvárosi 1-0 Torreense
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense betting tips
- Tip 1: Ferencvárosi to win 62% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.57 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Ferencvárosi vs Torreense: questions and answers
When is Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 3.
Where is Ferencvárosi vs Torreense played?
At Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Ferencvárosi's home ground.
Who will win Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Ferencvárosi are the favourites: Ferencvárosi 62%, draw 24%, Torreense 15%. Our prediction is Ferencvárosi 1-0 Torreense.
How many goals will there be in Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.