Inter Miami vs Charlotte Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale · updated 2026-10-25
Inter Miami welcome Charlotte to Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale in MLS action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
Inter Miami have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 48% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 15 matches, with a 40% win rate. Charlotte have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 42% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 16 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Inter Miami are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 19% and Charlotte at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Inter Miami 2.54, Charlotte 1.63.
- Over 2.5 goals: 79% · both teams to score: 74%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Inter Miami: form and key numbers
In style Inter Miami keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.91 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: +13.7).
- Shots: 14.9 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 74% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Charlotte: form and key numbers
In style Charlotte play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte: season averages side by side
| Inter Miami | Per match this season | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 2.4 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.56 |
| 1.83 | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| 14.9 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 6.0 | On target | 4.4 |
| 57.1 | Possession % | 46.5 |
| 19% | Clean sheets % | 16% |
| 74% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Inter Miami
- Rodrigo De Paul CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 46 · Creator, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Yannick Bright DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Ball-winner, Secure passer (top 9% of his position)
Charlotte
- Kristijan Kahlina GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Allan Saint-Maximin LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 48 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi, 39 · Inter Miami · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63
Lionel Messi, 39, plays as a winger for Inter Miami in the MLS. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 63
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 60
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6.39 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 99% |
| Big chances created | 0.83 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.41 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.74 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator.
- What Lionel Messi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lionel Messi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Inter Miami vs Charlotte prediction
Inter Miami should have more of the ball, with Charlotte likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Charlotte go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals - 2.54 for Inter Miami and 1.63 for Charlotte - with over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 74%. Inter Miami have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Inter Miami 3-1 Charlotte
Inter Miami vs Charlotte betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter Miami to win 57% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 60% by the model, 4.17 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 74% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 10.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
- Los Angeles FC vs LA Galaxy Monday 26 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New York City vs Atlanta United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
Inter Miami vs Charlotte: questions and answers
When is Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Inter Miami vs Charlotte is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Inter Miami vs Charlotte played?
At Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Inter Miami's home ground.
Who will win Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Inter Miami are the favourites: Inter Miami 57%, draw 19%, Charlotte 24%. Our prediction is Inter Miami 3-1 Charlotte.
Who is the player to watch in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Lionel Messi of Inter Miami: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 79%.
Tags
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