Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 6
La Liga · Wednesday 21 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Levante welcome Athletic Bilbao to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 6 action on Wednesday 21 October 2026.
Levante have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Athletic Bilbao have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Athletic Bilbao are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Levante at 28%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Levante +0.25 at 2.03, Athletic Bilbao at 1.88. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.2).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 43.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Athletic Bilbao: form and key numbers
In style Athletic Bilbao keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 53.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 1.27 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 14.7 |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| 1.4 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 39.2 | Pressure share % | 54.9 |
| 18.9 | Tackles | 16.1 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 11.7 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 7 measured matches.
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Levante have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Levante 2, Athletic Bilbao 6 - 4.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Levante (February 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Levante won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 – 2 | Levante |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Levante | 0 – 2 | Athletic Bilbao |
Players to watch
Levante
- Aïssa Mandi CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 4% of his position)
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 54 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 20% of his position)
Athletic Bilbao
- Cem Gürsoy CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 63 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 13% of his position)
- Unai Simón GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche, 36 · Athletic Club · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 69
Yuri Berchiche, 36, plays as a full-back for Athletic Club in La Liga. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 69
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 67.93 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 95% |
| Key passes | 1.47 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 88% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.74 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Chance creator.
- What Yuri Berchiche is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuri Berchiche's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao prediction
Athletic Bilbao should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct; Athletic Bilbao work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.27 for Levante and 1.47 for Athletic Bilbao - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%. Athletic Bilbao have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Levante 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao betting tips
- Tip 1: Athletic Bilbao win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.74 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao is on Wednesday 21 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 6.
Where is Levante vs Athletic Bilbao played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?
Athletic Bilbao are the favourites: Levante 28%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 44%. Our prediction is Levante 1-2 Athletic Bilbao.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Athletic Bilbao?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
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