New England vs Inter Miami Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Monday 2 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Boston Stadium, Foxborough · updated 2026-10-25
New England welcome Inter Miami to Boston Stadium in Foxborough in MLS action on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
New England have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 55% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 59% win rate. Inter Miami have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 48% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 16 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, New England are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 23% and Inter Miami at 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: New England 1.90, Inter Miami 1.64.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 69%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
New England: form and key numbers
In style New England press high.
- Expected goals: 1.53 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.7).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (83% at home).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Inter Miami: form and key numbers
In style Inter Miami keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.91 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: +13.7).
- Shots: 14.9 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 74% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
New England vs Inter Miami: season averages side by side
| New England | Per match this season | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.4 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.91 |
| 1.42 | xG conceded | 1.83 |
| 12.2 | Shots | 14.9 |
| 5.0 | On target | 6.0 |
| 50.0 | Possession % | 57.1 |
| 19% | Clean sheets % | 19% |
| 61% | Both teams scored % | 74% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.93 |
Players to watch
New England
- Jack Harrison LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Carles Gil AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 42 · Secure passer, Through-ball threat (top 6% of his position)
Inter Miami
- Rodrigo De Paul CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 46 · Creator, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Yannick Bright DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Ball-winner, Secure passer (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi, 39 · Inter Miami · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63
Lionel Messi, 39, plays as a winger for Inter Miami in the MLS. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 63
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 60
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 6.39 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 99% |
| Big chances created | 0.83 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.41 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.74 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator.
- What Lionel Messi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lionel Messi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
New England vs Inter Miami prediction
Inter Miami should have more of the ball, with New England likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; New England press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.90 for New England and 1.64 for Inter Miami - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 69%. New England have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: New England 3-1 Inter Miami
New England vs Inter Miami betting tips
- Tip 1: New England win or draw (double chance) 67% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 69% by the model, 3.54 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
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- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New York City vs Atlanta United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
New England vs Inter Miami: questions and answers
When is New England vs Inter Miami?
New England vs Inter Miami is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is New England vs Inter Miami played?
At Boston Stadium, Foxborough, New England's home ground.
Who will win New England vs Inter Miami?
New England are the favourites: New England 44%, draw 23%, Inter Miami 33%. Our prediction is New England 3-1 Inter Miami.
Who is the player to watch in New England vs Inter Miami?
Lionel Messi of Inter Miami: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in New England vs Inter Miami?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
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