Orlando City vs New England Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Exploria Stadium, Orlando · updated 2026-10-25
Orlando City welcome New England to Exploria Stadium in Orlando in MLS action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
Orlando City have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 39% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 16 matches, with a 75% win rate. New England have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 55% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 16 matches, with a 41% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, New England are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 23% and Orlando City at 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Orlando City 1.67, New England 1.86.
- Over 2.5 goals: 68% · both teams to score: 69%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Orlando City: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.57 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +11.4).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
New England: form and key numbers
In style New England press high.
- Expected goals: 1.53 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.7).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (17% away).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Orlando City vs New England: season averages side by side
| Orlando City | Per match this season | New England |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.57 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.53 |
| 1.96 | xG conceded | 1.42 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 12.2 |
| 5.1 | On target | 5.0 |
| 50.0 | Possession % | 50.0 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 19% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 61% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Orlando City
- Joran Gerbet DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 33 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
- Wilder Cartagena DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 33 · Blocks shots, Secure passer (top 14% of his position)
New England
- Jack Harrison LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Carles Gil AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 42 · Secure passer, Through-ball threat (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann, 35 · Orlando City · SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 60
Antoine Griezmann, 35, plays as a second striker for Orlando City in the MLS. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and assists. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 60
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 51
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.40 / 90 | 91% |
| Assists | 0.41 / 90 | 91% |
| Goals | 0.88 / 90 | 91% |
| Key passes | 2.50 / 90 | 78% |
| Expected goals | 0.43 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Creator, Provider, Clinical finisher.
⚠ 13 goals from only 6.4 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Antoine Griezmann is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Antoine Griezmann's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Orlando City vs New England prediction
Orlando City should have more of the ball; New England press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.67 for Orlando City and 1.86 for New England - with over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 69%. New England have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Orlando City 1-3 New England
Orlando City vs New England betting tips
- Tip 1: New England win or draw (double chance) 66% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 68% by the model, 3.53 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
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- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
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- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
Orlando City vs New England: questions and answers
When is Orlando City vs New England?
Orlando City vs New England is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Orlando City vs New England played?
At Exploria Stadium, Orlando, Orlando City's home ground.
Who will win Orlando City vs New England?
New England are the favourites: Orlando City 34%, draw 23%, New England 42%. Our prediction is Orlando City 1-3 New England.
Who is the player to watch in Orlando City vs New England?
Antoine Griezmann of Orlando City: a link-up forward with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City vs New England?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Tags
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