Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Thursday 29 October 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Seattle Stadium, Seattle · updated 2026-10-25
Seattle Sounders welcome Houston Dynamo to Seattle Stadium in Seattle in MLS action on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 02:30 UTC.
Seattle Sounders have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 15 matches, with a 64% win rate. Houston Dynamo have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 42% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 15 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Seattle Sounders are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 29% and Houston Dynamo at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.37, Houston Dynamo 1.01.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 48%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Seattle Sounders: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.2).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 26% of matches (38% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Houston Dynamo: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.2).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 39% of matches (42% away).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 8.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: season averages side by side
| Seattle Sounders | Per match this season | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 51.1 | Possession % | 48.3 |
| 26% | Clean sheets % | 39% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 42% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.86 | Average rating | 6.86 |
Players to watch
Seattle Sounders
- Andrew Thomas GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 42 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Albert Rusnák AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 41 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
Houston Dynamo
- Jack McGlynn CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 44 · Creator, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
- Jonathan Bond GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Guilherme
Guilherme, 31 · Houston Dynamo · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 48
Guilherme, 31, plays as a winger for Houston Dynamo in the MLS. Strongest for his role in fouls won and accurate crosses. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 48
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 45
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls won | 3.44 / 90 | 97% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.26 / 90 | 77% |
| Key passes | 2.46 / 90 | 69% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.32 / 90 | 67% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Draws fouls.
⚠ 15 goals from only 6.8 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Guilherme is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo prediction
Seattle Sounders should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.37 for Seattle Sounders and 1.01 for Houston Dynamo - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 48%. Seattle Sounders have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo betting tips
- Tip 1: Seattle Sounders win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 12.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: questions and answers
When is Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo is on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 02:30 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo played?
At Seattle Stadium, Seattle, Seattle Sounders's home ground.
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Seattle Sounders are the favourites: Seattle Sounders 44%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 27%. Our prediction is Seattle Sounders 2-0 Houston Dynamo.
Who is the player to watch in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Guilherme of Houston Dynamo: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.