Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC Prediction and Betting Tips
MLS · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Seattle Stadium, Seattle · updated 2026-10-25
Seattle Sounders welcome Los Angeles FC to Seattle Stadium in Seattle in MLS action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Seattle Sounders have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 15 matches, with a 64% win rate. Los Angeles FC have played 31 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 39% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 16 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Seattle Sounders 37%, the draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.28, Los Angeles FC 1.23.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Seattle Sounders: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.2).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 26% of matches (38% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Los Angeles FC: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.52 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (38% away).
- Both teams scored in 48% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC: season averages side by side
| Seattle Sounders | Per match this season | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 31 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 14.3 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.7 |
| 51.1 | Possession % | 46.2 |
| 26% | Clean sheets % | 42% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 48% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.86 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Seattle Sounders
- Andrew Thomas GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 42 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 25% of his position)
- Albert Rusnák AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 41 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
Los Angeles FC
- Heung-min Son LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 41 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 14% of his position)
- Mathieu Choinière CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 37 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Denis Bouanga
Denis Bouanga, 31 · Los Angeles FC · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 44
Denis Bouanga, 31, plays as a winger for Los Angeles FC in the MLS. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 44
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 41
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 34
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.44 / 90 | 87% |
| Shots | 3.28 / 90 | 65% |
| Big chances created | 0.44 / 90 | 63% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.91 / 90 | 51% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.25 / 90 | 48% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions.
- What Denis Bouanga is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Denis Bouanga's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC prediction
Seattle Sounders should have more of the ball, with Los Angeles FC likely to sit in a compact block and look to break. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.28 for Seattle Sounders and 1.23 for Los Angeles FC - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.51 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More MLS previews
- Los Angeles FC vs LA Galaxy Monday 26 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New York City vs Atlanta United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- New England vs New York RB Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Charlotte vs CF Montréal Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Toronto vs DC United Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Thursday 29 October 2026
- Dallas vs Columbus Crew Thursday 29 October 2026
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC: questions and answers
When is Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC played?
At Seattle Stadium, Seattle, Seattle Sounders's home ground.
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
It is close: Seattle Sounders 37%, draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 35%. Our prediction is Seattle Sounders 1-1 Los Angeles FC.
Who is the player to watch in Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
Denis Bouanga of Los Angeles FC: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.