Torino vs Udinese: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Serie A · Monday 12 October 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino · updated 2026-10-09
Torino host Udinese in Serie A on Monday 12 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Torino slight favourites at 39%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 26% and expects about 3.0 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Torino 1.56, Udinese 1.45.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda, 31 · Udinese · RB · Attacking full-back
Moneyball Scout picks Mërgim Vojvoda as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 57 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 57, defensive 28).
- Key passes: 1.68 per 90 minutes, better than 96% of full-backs
- Expected assists (est.): 0.17 per 90 minutes, better than 94% of full-backs
- Passes: 49.51 per 90 minutes, better than 80% of full-backs
Torino score 1.0 goals a match this season from 0.94 expected: stopping them runs through Mërgim Vojvoda.
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Torino | Per match this season | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 0.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.30 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 1.72 |
| 9.4 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 3.0 | On target | 4.8 |
| 53.8 | Possession % | 45.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 80% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Torino
- Ché Adams forward · rating 6.94 · 3 apps
- Alieu Njie forward · rating 6.93 · 3 apps
- Saúl Coco defender · rating 6.92 · 5 apps
Udinese
- Jurgen Ekkelenkamp forward · rating 7.26 · 5 apps
- Hassane Kamara midfielder · rating 7.20 · 5 apps
- Maduka Okoye goalkeeper · rating 7.10 · 5 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Napoli vs Frosinone Saturday 10 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Juventus Sunday 11 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Venezia Monday 12 October 2026
- Frosinone vs Sassuolo Friday 16 October 2026
- Venezia vs Napoli Saturday 17 October 2026
- Bologna vs Inter Saturday 17 October 2026
- Roma vs Genoa Saturday 17 October 2026
- Udinese vs Lecce Sunday 18 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.