Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 3
Europa Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova), Craiova · updated 2026-10-22
Universitatea Craiova welcome Egnatia Rrogozhinë to Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova) in Craiova in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Universitatea Craiova have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Universitatea Craiova are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 22% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Universitatea Craiova 1.97, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.73.
- Over 2.5 goals: 71% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Universitatea Craiova: form and key numbers
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.42.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form and key numbers
- Shots: 9.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.33.
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: season averages side by side
| Universitatea Craiova | Per match this season | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 9.5 |
| 6.3 | On target | 5.3 |
| 54.8 | Possession % | 47.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 6.5 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.42 | Average rating | 6.33 |
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals - 1.97 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.73 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë - with over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 71%. Universitatea Craiova have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë betting tips
- Tip 1: Universitatea Craiova win or draw (double chance) 66% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 71% by the model, 3.70 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- Kairat vs Panathinaikos Thursday 22 October 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Hearts Thursday 22 October 2026
- Pafos FC vs Riga Thursday 22 October 2026
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova Thursday 22 October 2026
- Getafe vs Lugano Thursday 22 October 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Thursday 22 October 2026
- Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Thursday 22 October 2026
- Crvena Zvezda vs FC København Thursday 22 October 2026
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: questions and answers
When is Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3.
Where is Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?
At Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova), Craiova, Universitatea Craiova's home ground.
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Universitatea Craiova are the favourites: Universitatea Craiova 44%, draw 22%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 34%. Our prediction is Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
How many goals will there be in Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.